Ace King Suited Draw Odds

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Draw Odds

Hand On The Flop By The Turn By The River
High Card 52.71 % 33.87 % 18.22 %
Pair 40.41 % 46.79 % 43.27 %
Two Pair 4.04 % 11.43 % 22.14 %
Three Of A Kind 1.57 % 3.06 % 4.34 %
Straight 0.32 % 1.23 % 3.09 %
Flush 0.84 % 2.92 % 6.53 %
Full House 0.09 % 0.63 % 2.22 %
Four Of A Kind 0.01 % 0.05 % 0.13 %
Straight Flush 0.01 % 0.02 % 0.05 %

Ace-King Suited (AKs) – Odds Breakdown and Analysis

Ace-King Suited is widely considered the fourth strongest starting hand in Texas Hold’em, and the best non-pair hand in the game. It combines the highest possible card ranks with the added equity of the flush draw, and it is one of the few hands capable of dominating a wide range of opponents while simultaneously having multiple routes to the best hand by the river.

But the draw odds table for AKs tells a story that surprises many players: this is not a made hand. It is a drawing hand with exceptional raw materials.


What These Odds Show for AKs

The most striking figure on this page is the 52.71% chance of still holding high card on the flop – meaning more than half the time, AKs reaches the flop without having made even a pair. By the river, that figure drops to 18.22%, but it remains a meaningful reminder that AKs needs to connect to win at showdown.

When it does connect on the flop, the most common outcome is one pair at 40.41%. This climbs to a peak of 46.79% by the turn as more cards are seen, before settling at 43.27% by the river. Two pair arrives in 22.14% of runouts by the river – a significant improvement path that rewards patience and position.

The flush draw is where AKs separates itself from Ace-King offsuit. By the river, AKs makes a flush in 6.53% of all runouts. That may not sound dramatic in isolation, but it represents a clean, nut-flush draw that is virtually impossible for opponents to read as a threat when an Ace or King is also in your hand. The straight draw adds a further 3.09% by the river, meaning AKs makes either a straight or a flush in roughly 1 in 10 hands – and when it does, it is almost always the best possible version of that hand.


Hand Strength Summary

  • Hand type: Premium broadway hand, suited
  • Relative strength: Best non-pair starting hand; top 4 overall
  • Dominates: AQ, AJ, KQ, KJ, and most broadway combinations
  • Main vulnerability: Pocket pairs – even small ones have an edge preflop

That last point is one of the most important concepts in Texas Hold’em. AKs is a significant favourite against most individual hands, but it is actually a slight underdog against any pocket pair before the flop. It is powerful because of how it performs across the full range of opponents it is likely to face, not because it beats every hand it encounters.


How Ace-King Suited Wins

AKs has more distinct paths to winning than almost any other starting hand:

  • Makes top pair with top kicker (an Ace or King on the board)
  • Makes the nut flush using both hole cards
  • Completes a broadway straight (A-K-Q-J-T)
  • Forces folds preflop and on early streets through aggressive play
  • Dominates weaker Ace-x and King-x hands that connect with the same boards

This combination of showdown value, drawing equity, and dominance over a wide range of hands is what gives AKs its reputation as a premium starting hand despite technically being behind every pocket pair before the flop.


Main Weaknesses

  • Behind all pocket pairs preflop – including 22
  • Misses the flop entirely more than half the time (52.71%)
  • Top pair with top kicker, while strong, can be beaten by two pair or better
  • Without connecting, the hand has no showdown value in a checked-down pot
  • Players unfamiliar with its drawing nature can over-value it on blank flops

The most common mistake with AKs is treating it as a made hand. When AKs misses the flop, it requires either fold equity through aggression or a clear draw to continue profitably.


Best and Worst Flop Textures

Strong flops

  • Ace-high or King-high boards – top pair top kicker with strong kicker protection
  • Two cards of your suit – a flush draw with two overcards is an extremely powerful semi-bluffing hand
  • Broadway-connected boards (e.g. Q♠ J♠ T♠) – open-ended straight draw or straight flush potential
  • Paired low boards – limited opponent equity, and your overcards retain significant value

Dangerous flops

  • Low, dry, rainbow boards that miss completely (e.g. 8♦ 5♣ 2♠) – no pair, no draw, limited equity
  • Boards where opponents have likely connected and your fold equity is low
  • Monotone boards in a suit other than yours – flush draw threat with no participation

The difference between a strong and a weak flop for AKs can be dramatic, which makes position and reads especially important.


How It Plays by Position

  • Early position: A standard raise or open. Strong enough to play from anywhere.
  • Middle position: Raise or 3-bet. AKs plays well in most postflop scenarios.
  • Late position: Ideal. The combination of position, fold equity, and drawing strength makes this a powerful hand to 3-bet or isolate with.
  • Blinds: Still premium, but be aware that missing the flop out of position is costly. Consider the texture carefully before committing to multi-street aggression on a blank board.

The Suited Advantage – How Much Does It Matter?

Compared to Ace-King offsuit, the suited version adds approximately 3–4% equity in most match-ups. Against a hand like Pocket Queens, that equity difference is the margin between a coin flip and a genuine underdog. Against weaker hands, it makes an already dominant situation even more decisive.

The 6.53% flush rate by the river represents clean, nut-flush equity that AKo simply does not have. Against an opponent who makes a non-nut flush, AKs wins the pot rather than losing it – a swing that compounds over time.


Common Mistakes with Ace-King Suited

  • Over-committing postflop on blank boards with no pair and no draw
  • Under-valuing it preflop against tight 3-bet ranges (it is often correct to 4-bet)
  • Slow playing on Ace-high flops and allowing drawing hands to catch up cheaply
  • Failing to recognise and press the advantage of a nut flush draw
  • Treating it identically to AKo and ignoring the additional equity the suited nature provides

Comparison to Similar Hands

  • Stronger than: AKo, AQs, KQs, QQ (debated, situation dependent)
  • Behind preflop: Every pocket pair from 22 to AA
  • Most comparable to AKo overall, but with materially better equity in close match-ups

How Ace-King Suited Performs in Multiway Pots

AKs performs better in multiway pots than most premium hands, specifically because of its drawing equity. While a hand like AA relies on holding its edge against a field, AKs can flop a draw that gives it a strong chance of making the best hand regardless of what opponents hold. Its 6.53% nut flush rate and 3.09% straight rate become more valuable, not less, when there are more players in the pot to pay off a completed draw.

That said, the 52.71% miss rate on the flop is a real concern multiway – without fold equity, a complete miss becomes very difficult to play profitably.


FAQ: Ace-King Suited

Is AKs better than QQ?

It is a genuinely close debate and the answer depends on context. Heads-up against QQ specifically, AKs is a slight underdog. But in terms of overall hand range performance – particularly multiway and in tournament play – many experienced players rate AKs at least equal to QQ.

Should you always 4-bet AKs?

Not always, but often. Against aggressive 3-bettors with a wide range, 4-betting AKs is frequently correct. Against very tight 3-bet ranges weighted towards AA and KK, calling to realise equity postflop can be the better play.

How do you play AKs when you miss the flop?

Aggression is usually the answer in position. A continuation bet on most flops retains fold equity. On wet boards where you pick up a draw, semi-bluffing becomes extremely powerful. On dry boards out of position against a calling station, checking back and re-evaluating is often correct.

Does the suited nature of AKs make a big difference?

Yes, meaningfully so. The additional equity against pocket pairs, the nut flush draw, and the occasional straight flush potential all compound over time into a real performance edge over the offsuit version.


Related Hands

Poker Odds Calculator Explained

Use Bet Shrew Poker Odds Calculator to calculate the odds of making a hand while playing Texas Hold‘em poker.

Poker is a game of incomplete information as you do not have access to your opponent's hole cards while making your betting decisions. Unlike other online Poker Odds Calculators, the Bet Shrew Poker Odds Calculator reflects this and calculates your odds based only on the cards that you can see.

The Bet Shrew Poker Odds Calculator is perfect for beginners and intermediate players wanting to calculate their draw odds and outs quickly and accurately without any complicated maths.

The various odds tables that you may encounter while using the Bet Shrew odds calculator are explained below.

Starting Hand Odds

Before you have even been dealt your hand, the calculator will show you the odds of being dealt different possible starting hands. For example, it will show you the odds of being dealt pocket aces (note: this can be applied to any specific pair).

These odds can be particularly useful when you are short stacked, waiting for that all-in opportunity.

Draw Odds

When you specify your hole cards, the calculator will consider every possible combination of cards that can still be drawn from the deck, evaluate what hand you would make for each possible combination and calculate the odds of you making each hand.

The draw odds table will breakdown your odds of making a hand on the flop, by the turn and by the river.

Odds of a Higher Poker Pair

When you have a pocket pair, the Poker Odds Calculator will show you the odds of an opponent holding a higher pocket pair.

The odds of an opponent holding a higher pocket pair is dependent on how high your pocket pair is and the number of players at you table. The odds presented will automatically consider the cards you are holding and then show you a breakdown of the odds based on the number of players.

Please note that these odds are based on the number of players at your table, not the number of players in the hand. This is important to note because a player at your table could be dealt a higher pocket pair but fold.

Odds of an Over Card

The odds of an over card table shows the odds that a card with a higher value than your highest denomination card will be drawn on the board.

Knowing the odds of an over card being drawn allows you to bet an appropriate amount to price out players fishing for a higher pair.

To set your hole cards or any community cards, simply click on the card you wish to set from the deck. As you click on cards from the deck, first your hole cards will be set, followed by the flop, the turn and then the river. As you set the cards in the hand, draws odds will automatically be calculated and displayed.

To unset a card, simply click on it to return it to the deck. Clicking the new hand button will reset the whole table and allow you to calculate the odds for a new hand.

How are draw odds calculated?

To calculate your draw odds, the calculator generates every possible combination of cards that could be drawn from the deck. For each combination, it evaluates the best 5 card hand that can be made and tallies up how often that a hand is made. This yields the precise probability of making each hand type.

This is a computationally expensive process. For speed and performance benefits, draws odds have been pre-computed and stored. This means that rather than recalculating draw odds every time, the calculator only needs to lookup the correct values from a table; albeit a very large table.

For a guide on how to calculate draw odds manually yourself, see our guide to calculating draw odds and outs.

Why are the draw odds different to what I expected?

Calculating draw odds is tricky. To understand how and why the odds above may not be quite what you expected it is best to use an example.

Let's say that you have AS and KS in your hand and you want to know the odds of making a pair on the flop. There are 6 cards that can make you a pair (3 Aces and 3 Kings).

To calculate your odds you may intuitively say that the odds of drawing an Ace or a King as the first card of the flop is 6 divided by the 50 remaining cards in the deck and you would be correct.

For the second card of the flop you might be inclined to say that it would be 6 divided by the 49 cards remaining in the deck. However, you must also consider what impact the first flop card made on your odds. This is where the math can get tricky.

Let’s say the first flop card is a 7D. If the second flop card is any other 7, even though you have not paired your hole cards, the hand you have made is still a pair; a pair of sevens.

Using the same example of AS, KS, another consideration is what if you make a better hand like 2 pair or 3 of a kind?

If the first of the flop cards is an Ace, great you've made top pair! However, if another Ace or a King comes you have no longer made a pair you have made a better hand.

The Bet Shrew odds calculator factors these consideration in as it determines every possible combinations of cards that could be drawn, evaluates the best 5 card hand that can be made and aggregates the results to determine their probabilities.

For draw odds based on outs, check out our drawing odds and outs table.